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NFLGame line3rd quarter spread
MIN 3Q -0.5 (3rd quarter spread)
Won5 of 10last 10 games · 50%
Best price+101Kalshi
Price needs49.8%wins to break even
Every game9 of 22this season and last
Trend score-22.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 50% to break even | 22%–61% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 50% to break even | 24%–61% | 9 points shortwon 41%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 9 of 2241%needs 50% to break even | 26%–58% | 9 points shortwon 41%, needs 50% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
MIN 3Q -0.5 (3rd quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
3Q margin in each game against min 3q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 |  NO | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  MIA | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  TB | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  CHI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  GB | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | GB | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 |  DET | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  NYG | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  DAL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  WSH | 10 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  SEA | -6 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | GB | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | CHI | -6 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 |  BAL | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | DET | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 23 |  LAC | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  PHI | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  PIT | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  CIN | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  ATL | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 8 | CHI | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Minnesota Vikings in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.