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NFLGame line3rd quarter spread
SF 3Q -1.5 (3rd quarter spread)
Won7 of 15last 15 games · 47%
Best price+124Kalshi
Price needs44.6%wins to break even
Every game7 of 25this season and last
Trend score-23.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 45% to break even | 13%–56% | 15 points shortwon 30%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 45% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points betterwon 47%, needs 45% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 45% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 4 of 1921%needs 45% to break even | 10%–40% | 24 points shortwon 21%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 7 of 2528%needs 45% to break even | 16%–44% | 17 points shortwon 28%, needs 45% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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SF 3Q -1.5 (3rd quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
3Q margin in each game against sf 3q -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 |  WSH | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  SEA | -13 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  DEN | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  ARI | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  MIA | 21 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 10 |  LAR | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 17 | SEA | -10 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 |  PHI | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | SEA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 |  CHI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 22 |  IND | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  TEN | 14 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  CLE | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 |  CAR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | ARI | 10 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | LAR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  NYG | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 |  HOU | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  ATL | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  TB | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 2 | LAR | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  JAX | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | ARI | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  NO | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | SEA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on San Francisco 49ers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.