This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 58% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 58% to break even | 19%–65% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 58% to break even | 17%–54% | 24 points shortwon 33%, needs 58% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 58% to break even | 22%–78% | 8 points shortwon 50%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 6 of 1735%needs 58% to break even | 19%–55% | 23 points shortwon 35%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 9 of 2339%needs 58% to break even | 24%–56% | 19 points shortwon 39%, needs 58% |
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
3Q margin in each game against lv 3q +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q margin | Beat -0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -10 | -9.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 1st half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| Oct 11 | -11 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -8 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | -14 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 6 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | -10 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | -20 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | -14 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| 15 of 17· last season88%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -6.1Not beating its price |
| LV -0.5 2nd quarter spreadLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 40% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| LV -2.5 2nd quarter spreadLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.1Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, LV gamesLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 team totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, LV gamesLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 2nd half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 34% to break even | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 3rd quarter totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, LV gamesLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.8Not beating its price |
| LV -2.5 1st half spreadLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 2nd quarter totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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