This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 43% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 43% to break even | 28%–67% | 4 points betterwon 47%, needs 43% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 43% to break even | 12%–65% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 8 of 1844%needs 43% to break even | 27%–63% | 2 points betterwon 44%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 10 of 2442%needs 43% to break even | 27%–58% | 1 points shortwon 42%, needs 43% |
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
3Q margin in each game against gb 3q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -4 | -4.5 | ||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB +0.5 1st quarter spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 9 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 24 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | 10 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 27 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 11 | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 9.4Strong |
| GB +2.5 1st quarter spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | 9.1Strong |
| GB +3.5 1st quarter spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even | 8.5Strong |
| Under 49.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 40% to break even | 7.0Good |
| Under 50.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 42% to break even | 6.0Good |
| Under 51.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 46% to break even | 3.1Good |
| GB +1.5 1st half spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 48% to break even | 1.7Slight |
| Under 52.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 48% to break even | 0.9Slight |
| GB +0.5 1st half spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 48% to break even | 0.9Slight |
| GB +2.5 1st half spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 49% to break even | 0.9Slight |
| Under 53.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 50% to break even | -0.5Not beating its price |
| GB -2.5 1st half spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 36% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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