Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doesn't score a TDJaylen Warren · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | |||||
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even |
| -1.8Not beating its price |
| 2 | Doesn't score a TDDrake London · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.6Not beating its price |
| 3 | Doesn't score a TDWoody Marks · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB | -103at Kalshi | 13 of 18· last season72%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.0Not beating its price |
| 4 | Doesn't score a TDTony Pollard · CLE @ TEN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price |
| 5 | Scores a TDGeorge Kittle · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 45% to break even | -8.1Not beating its price |
| 6 | Doesn't score a TDAshton Jeanty · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even | -8.6Not beating its price |
| 7 | Doesn't score a TDJustin Jefferson · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 15 of 17· last season88%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
| 8 | Scores a TDChristian Watson · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +124at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 45% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price |
| 9 | Scores a TDJaxon Smith-Njigba · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 45% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price |
| 10 | Doesn't score a TDEmanuel Wilson · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 16 of 18· last season89%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
| 11 | Doesn't score a TDAaron Jones Sr. · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 59% to break even | -10.4Not beating its price |
| 12 | Scores a TDBrock Bowers · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 45% to break even | -11.0Not beating its price |
| 13 | Doesn't score a TDAmon-Ra St. Brown · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| 14 | Scores a TDJavonte Williams · DAL @ PHI · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 62% to break even | -12.0Not beating its price |
| 15 | Doesn't score a TDChase Brown · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| 16 | Doesn't score a TDTetairoa McMillan · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 65% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price |
| 17 | Doesn't score a TDBraelon Allen · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETHall questionable: next up at RB | -131at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 57% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price |
| 18 | Doesn't score a TDJ.K. Dobbins · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
| 19 | Doesn't score a TDChuba Hubbard · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| 20 | Doesn't score a TDBucky Irving · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -161at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 62% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| 21 | Scores a TDJonathan Taylor · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| 22 | Doesn't score a TDKenneth Walker III · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| 23 | Scores a TDKyren Williams · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price |
| 24 | Scores a TDPuka Nacua · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -112at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price |
| 25 | Doesn't score a TDCeeDee Lamb · DAL @ PHI · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
| 26 | Doesn't score a TDMatthew Golden · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -183at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last season93%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.7Not beating its price |
| 27 | Scores a TDNico Collins · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | +140at Kalshi | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| 28 | Scores a TDJa'Marr Chase · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 48% to break even | -19.3Not beating its price |
| 29 | Scores a TDDerrick Henry · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 67% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
| 30 | Doesn't score a TDJa'Marr Chase · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
| 31 | Scores a TDKenneth Walker III · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price |
| 32 | Scores a TDCeeDee Lamb · DAL @ PHI · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.7Not beating its price |
| 33 | Scores a TDChuba Hubbard · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even | -22.8Not beating its price |
| 34 | Under 1.5 anytime TDJahmyr Gibbs · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.2Not beating its price |
| 35 | Doesn't score a TDNico Collins · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -175at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 64% to break even | -23.4Not beating its price |
| 36 | Scores a TDJ.K. Dobbins · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last season40%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
| 37 | Doesn't score a TDKyren Williams · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 20· last season35%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price |
| 38 | Doesn't score a TDZay Flowers · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.5Not beating its price |
| 39 | Scores a TDBraelon Allen · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETHall questionable: next up at RB | +109at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 48% to break even | -24.8Not beating its price |
| 40 | Scores a TDTetairoa McMillan · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 42% to break even | -24.9Not beating its price |
| 41 | Scores a TDBucky Irving · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last season40%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
| 42 | Scores a TDChase Brown · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 51% to break even | -25.6Not beating its price |
| 43 | Scores a TDAaron Jones Sr. · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 46% to break even | -25.8Not beating its price |
| 44 | Doesn't score a TDPuka Nacua · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -107at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 52% to break even | -25.8Not beating its price |
| 45 | Scores a TDDrake London · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price |
| 46 | Doesn't score a TDJonathan Taylor · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 52% to break even | -26.1Not beating its price |
| 47 | Doesn't score a TDJavonte Williams · DAL @ PHI · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
| 48 | Scores a TDAmon-Ra St. Brown · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 57% to break even | -27.4Not beating its price |
| 49 | Scores a TDEmanuel Wilson · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 43% to break even | -27.7Not beating its price |
| 50 | Doesn't score a TDBrock Bowers · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price |
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