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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Woody Marks under 11.5 receiving yards
Won11 of 15last 15 games · 73%
Best price-114FanDuel
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game15 of 24this season and last
Trend score-14.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 16.2receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 10.2receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 53% to break even | 52%–87% | 20 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% | 8.2receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 13.2receiving yards |
| Last season | 12 of 1867%needs 53% to break even | 47%–82% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 12.6receiving yards |
| Every game | 15 of 2463%needs 53% to break even | 46%–77% | 9 points betterwon 63%, needs 53% | 12.8receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 11 at home. Tonight: NYG allows 21.5 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 5th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How NYG defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Woody Marks under 11.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  JAX | 25 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  TEN | 23 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  DAL | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  IND | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  CIN | 27 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  BUF | -2 | +13.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 |  NE | 19 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 19 |  PIT | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | IND | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  LAC | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  ARI | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  KC | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | IND | 3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | BUF | -5 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | TEN | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | JAX | 18 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  DEN | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  SF | 49 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  SEA | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | TEN | 50 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | JAX | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  TB | 37 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB |  -146at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 59% to break even5 of 11 at home | -33.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 11.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -114at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even5 of 11 at home | -28.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 13.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB |  -106at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even5 of 11 at home | -26.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +122at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even5 of 11 at home | -21.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +198at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even4 of 11 at home | -15.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Woody Marks in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 64.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB |  -114at BetOnline | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 3.9Good | |
| Under 15.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB |  +105at Fanatics | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 49% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 3.2Good | |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB |  -148at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 60% to break even10 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 2.2Slight | |
| Under 63.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 1.6Slight | |
| Under 62.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB |  -120at BetMGM | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -0.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 16.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -133at BetOnline | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 57% to break even10 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -1.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 47% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -3.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 40% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 79.5 rush + rec yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -111at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even8 of 11 at home | -5.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 14.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 41% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +164at FanDuel | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 38% to break even6 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price | |
| Doesn't score a TDWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -107at Kalshi | 13 of 18· last season72%needs 52% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.