This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 49% to break even | 65%–100% | 51 points betterwon 100%, needs 49% | 9.8rush attempts |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 49% to break even | 54%–93% | 31 points betterwon 80%, needs 49% | 12rush attempts |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 49% to break even | 39%–78% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% | 13.7rush attempts |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 49% to break even | 69%–100% | 51 points betterwon 100%, needs 49% | 9.7rush attempts |
| Last season |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 11 at home. Tonight: NYG allows 22.5 rush attempts a game to running backs, the 14th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 21.9). How NYG defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rush attempts in each game against under 15.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 11 of 1861%needs 49% to break even |
| 42%–77% |
| 12 points betterwon 61%, needs 49% |
| 12.7rush attempts |
| Every game | 17 of 2471%needs 49% to break even | 54%–83% | 22 points betterwon 71%, needs 49% | 12rush attempts |
| Rush attempts |
|---|
| Beat 15.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 6 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 5 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 9 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 19 | 19 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 10 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 19 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 7 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 26 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 19 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 16 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 18 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 10 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 11 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 10 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 7 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 17 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 6 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 3 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 3 | +12.5 | Won | |
| -175at Kalshi |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 64% to break even2 of 11 at home |
| -35.5Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -122at BetRivers | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 55% to break even2 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -36.0Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +105at DraftKings | 6 of 18· last season33%needs 49% to break even1 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -32.6Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +175at BetRivers | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 36% to break even0 of 11 at home | -23.2Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +165at BetOnline | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 38% to break even0 of 11 at home | -25.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -114at BetOnline |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even9 of 11 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| 3.9Good |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -148at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 60% to break even10 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 2.2Slight |
| Under 63.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 1.6Slight |
| Under 62.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -120at BetMGM | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -0.5Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 47% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 40% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 79.5 rush + rec yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -111at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even8 of 11 at home | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +164at FanDuel | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 38% to break even6 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -107at Kalshi | 13 of 18· last season72%needs 52% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -161at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 62% to break even8 of 11 at home | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Under 61.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -118at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 54% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -114at FanDuel | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even6 of 11 at home | -14.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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