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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Woody Marks over 14.5 receiving yards
Won3 of 5last 5 games · 60%
Best price+114Kalshi
Price needs46.7%wins to break even
Every game9 of 24this season and last
Trend score-22.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 47% to break even | 27%–86% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% | 16.2receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 47% to break even | 19%–65% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% | 10.2receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 47% to break even | 13%–48% | 20 points shortwon 27%, needs 47% | 8.2receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 47% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points betterwon 50%, needs 47% | 13.2receiving yards |
| Last season | 6 of 1833%needs 47% to break even | 18%–53% | 13 points shortwon 33%, needs 47% | 12.6receiving yards |
| Every game | 9 of 2438%needs 47% to break even | 23%–54% | 9 points shortwon 38%, needs 47% | 12.8receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 11 at home. Tonight: NYG allows 21.5 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 5th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3): a tough matchup for this bet. How NYG defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Woody Marks over 14.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  JAX | 25 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  TEN | 23 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  DAL | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  IND | 6 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  CIN | 27 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  BUF | -2 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 |  NE | 19 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 19 |  PIT | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | IND | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  LAC | 4 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  ARI | 8 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  KC | 8 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | IND | 3 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | BUF | -5 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | TEN | 7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | JAX | 18 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  DEN | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  SF | 49 | +34.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  SEA | 20 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | TEN | 50 | +35.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | JAX | 9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  TB | 37 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB |  -161at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 62% to break even6 of 11 at home | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Woody Marks in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -154at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 61% to break even10 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 1.4Slight | |
| Under 62.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB |  -114at BetOnline | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 0.5Slight | |
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +173at Kalshi | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 37% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -2.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 48% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -4.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 41% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 79.5 rush + rec yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -116at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 54% to break even8 of 11 at home | -6.1Not beating its price | ||
| Doesn't score a TDWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -107at Kalshi | 13 of 18· last season72%needs 52% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +159at Kalshi | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 39% to break even6 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 17.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -191at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 66% to break even11 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -7.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 61.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB |  -112at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -8.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 60.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB |  -118at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 54% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -9.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -191at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 66% to break even8 of 11 at home | -11.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.