This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% | 16.2receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 51% to break even | 19%–65% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% | 10.2receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 51% to break even | 13%–48% | 25 points shortwon 27%, needs 51% | 8.2receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 51% to break even | 22%–78% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% | 13.2receiving yards |
| Last season |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 11 at home. Tonight: NYG allows 21.5 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 5th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3): a tough matchup for this bet. How NYG defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 18%–53% |
| 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% |
| 12.6receiving yards |
| Every game | 9 of 2438%needs 51% to break even | 23%–54% | 14 points shortwon 38%, needs 51% | 12.8receiving yards |
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 25 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 23 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 27 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | -2 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 19 | 0 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 0 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 4 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | -5 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 0 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 49 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 20 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 0 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 50 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 37 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 0 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| +140at Kalshi |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 42% to break even6 of 11 at home |
| -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -114at FanDuel | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even6 of 11 at home | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -118at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 54% to break even6 of 11 at home | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -137at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 58% to break even6 of 11 at home | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -191at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 66% to break even7 of 11 at home | -19.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -114at BetOnline |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even9 of 11 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| 3.9Good |
| Under 15.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +105at Fanatics | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 49% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 3.2Good |
| Under 63.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 1.6Slight |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -154at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 61% to break even10 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 1.4Slight |
| Under 62.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -120at BetMGM | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -0.5Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -133at BetOnline | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 57% to break even10 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 47% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Under 79.5 rush + rec yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -103at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 51% to break even8 of 11 at home | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 40% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -137at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 58% to break even8 of 11 at home | -5.3Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 41% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +164at FanDuel | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 38% to break even6 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.