This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 53% to break even | 65%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% | 32.6rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 53% to break even | 54%–93% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% | 45.3rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 48.9rushing yards |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 53% to break even | 69%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% | 34.2rushing yards |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 11 at home. Tonight: NYG allows 107.5 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 4th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6): a tough matchup for this bet. How NYG defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against under 63.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Last season |
| 12 of 1867%needs 53% to break even |
| 47%–82% |
| 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| 46.2rushing yards |
| Every game | 18 of 2475%needs 53% to break even | 58%–86% | 22 points betterwon 75%, needs 53% | 43.2rushing yards |
| Opponent |
|---|
| Rushing yards |
|---|
| Beat 63.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 56 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 62 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 22 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 15 | +48.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 8 | +55.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 42 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 17 | +46.5 | Won | |
| Wk 19 | 112 | -48.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 48 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 71 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 30 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 68 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 64 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 74 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 44 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 63 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 27 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 62 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 15 | +48.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 24 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 69 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 27 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 14 | +49.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 3 | +60.5 | Won | |
| -125at BetRivers |
| 8 of 18· last season44%needs 56% to break even4 of 11 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -33.4Not beating its price |
| Over 61.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -113at BetRivers | 8 of 18· last season44%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -31.3Not beating its price |
| Over 62.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -110at BetMGM | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 52% to break even3 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -34.7Not beating its price |
| Over 63.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -109at DraftKings | 6 of 18· last season33%needs 52% to break even2 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -35.4Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -114at BetOnline | 5 of 18· last season28%needs 53% to break even2 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -37.9Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +140at BetRivers | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 42% to break even1 of 11 at home | -30.6Not beating its price |
| Over 74.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +145at BetMGM | 1 of 10· last 10 games10%needs 41% to break even0 of 11 at home | -32.9Not beating its price |
| Over 79.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +235at BetRivers | 1 of 10· last 10 games10%needs 30% to break even0 of 11 at home | -23.8Not beating its price |
| Over 84.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +190at BetOnline | 1 of 10· last 10 games10%needs 34% to break even0 of 11 at home | -27.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +105at Fanatics |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 49% to break even9 of 11 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| 3.2Good |
| Under 16.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -133at BetOnline | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 57% to break even10 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Under 79.5 rush + rec yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -111at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even8 of 11 at home | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 41% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +164at FanDuel | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 38% to break even6 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -107at Kalshi | 13 of 18· last season72%needs 52% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -191at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 66% to break even11 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -174at DraftKings | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 64% to break even8 of 11 at home | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -114at FanDuel | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even6 of 11 at home | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +198at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even4 of 11 at home | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -118at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 54% to break even6 of 11 at home | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +122at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even5 of 11 at home | -21.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.