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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Woody Marks under 49.5 rushing yards
Won10 of 18last season · 56%
Best price+159Kalshi
Price needs38.6%wins to break even
Every game14 of 24this season and last
Trend score-3.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 39% to break even | 27%–86% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 39% to break even | 35%–81% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 39% to break even | 33%–72% | 15 points betterwon 53%, needs 39% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 39% to break even | 35%–88% | 28 points betterwon 67%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 10 of 1856%needs 39% to break even | 37%–73% | 17 points betterwon 56%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 14 of 2458%needs 39% to break even | 42%–73% | 20 points betterwon 58%, needs 39% |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Woody Marks under 49.5 rushing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against under 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  JAX | 56 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  TEN | 62 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  DAL | 22 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  IND | 15 | +34.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  CIN | 8 | +41.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  BUF | 42 | +7.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 |  NE | 17 | +32.5 | Won |
| Wk 19 |  PIT | 112 | -62.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | IND | 48 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  LAC | 71 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  ARI | 30 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  KC | 68 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | IND | 64 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | BUF | 74 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | TEN | 44 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | JAX | 63 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  DEN | 27 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  SF | 62 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  SEA | 15 | +34.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | 24 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | TEN | 69 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | JAX | 27 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  TB | 14 | +35.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 3 | +46.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB |  -114at FanDuel | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even | -27.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 56.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB |  -112at DraftKings | 8 of 18· last season44%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 59.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB |  -126at Kalshi | 8 of 18· last season44%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 69.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB | +129at Kalshi | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 44% to break even | -32.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 79.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB | +198at Kalshi | 1 of 10· last 10 games10%needs 34% to break even | -26.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Woody Marks in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB | +152at Kalshi | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price | |
| Doesn't score a TDWoody Marks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 18· last season72%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 17.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB | -191at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 66% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 17.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 43% to break even | -28.4Not beating its price | ||
| Scores a TDWoody Marks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB | -121at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 55% to break even | -34.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 14.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful: next up at RB | -183at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 65% to break even | -36.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.