This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% | 48.8rushing and receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 54% to break even | 44%–87% | 16 points betterwon 70%, needs 54% | 55.5rushing and receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 54% to break even | 59%–92% | 26 points betterwon 80%, needs 54% | 57.1rushing and receiving yards |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 54% to break even | 35%–88% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% | 47.3rushing and receiving yards |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 11 at home. Tonight: NYG allows 129 rushing and receiving yards a game to running backs, the 13th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 120.9). How NYG defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rush + rec yards in each game against under 79.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Last season | 14 of 1878%needs 54% to break even | 59%–90% | 24 points betterwon 78%, needs 54% | 58.8rushing and receiving yards |
| Every game | 18 of 2475%needs 54% to break even | 58%–86% | 21 points betterwon 75%, needs 54% | 56rushing and receiving yards |
| Date |
|---|
| Opponent |
|---|
| Rush + rec yards |
|---|
| Beat 79.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 81 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 85 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 22 | +57.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 21 | +58.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 35 | +44.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 40 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 36 | +43.5 | Won | |
| Wk 19 | 112 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 48 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 75 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 38 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 76 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 67 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 69 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 51 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 81 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 27 | +52.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 111 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 35 | +44.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 24 | +55.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 119 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 36 | +43.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 51 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 3 | +76.5 | Won | |
| -121at Kalshi |
| 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 55% to break even3 of 11 at home |
| -36.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -154at Kalshi |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 61% to break even10 of 11 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| 1.4Slight |
| Under 62.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -114at BetOnline | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 0.5Slight |
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +173at Kalshi | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 37% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -2.2Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 48% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -4.5Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 41% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -107at Kalshi | 13 of 18· last season72%needs 52% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +159at Kalshi | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 39% to break even6 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -191at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 66% to break even11 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Under 61.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -112at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 60.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -118at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 54% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -191at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 66% to break even8 of 11 at home | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -161at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 62% to break even6 of 11 at home | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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