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NCAAFGame lineTotal
Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs: over 53.5
Won8 of 10last 10 games · 80%
Best price+155Polymarket
Price needs39.2%wins to break even
Every game12 of 19this season and last
Trend score2.3Slight
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 39% to break even | 27%–86% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% | 58.2total points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 39% to break even | 54%–93% | 41 points betterwon 80%, needs 39% | 63.3total points |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 39% to break even | 52%–87% | 34 points betterwon 73%, needs 39% | 63.2total points |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 39% to break even | 35%–88% | 27 points betterwon 67%, needs 39% | 61total points |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 39% to break even | 39%–80% | 22 points betterwon 62%, needs 39% | 60.6total points |
| Every game | 12 of 1963%needs 39% to break even | 44%–79% | 24 points betterwon 63%, needs 39% | 60.7total points |
Games like tonight
Tonight MSST plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against OU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 10 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs: over 53.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against over 53.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 53.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  LSU | 31 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  ALA | 79 | +25.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  MIZ | 55 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | SC | 75 | +21.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  MINN | 51 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  ULM | 75 | +21.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  WAKE | 72 | +18.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 |  MISS | 57 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | MIZ | 76 | +22.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  UGA | 62 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  ARK | 73 | +19.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  TEX | 83 | +29.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  FLA | 44 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  TA&M | 40 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  TENN | 75 | +21.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  NIU | 48 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  ALCN | 63 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  ASU | 44 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  USM | 51 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Mississippi State Bulldogs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.