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NCAAFGame lineSpread
MSST -4.5 (spread)
Won4 of 6this season · 67%
Best price+185Polymarket
Price needs35.1%wins to break even
Every game7 of 19this season and last
Trend score-12.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 35% to break even | 27%–86% | 25 points betterwon 60%, needs 35% | lost by 5points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 35% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% | lost by 5.1points |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 35% to break even | 13%–48% | 8 points shortwon 27%, needs 35% | lost by 5.7points |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 35% to break even | 35%–88% | 32 points betterwon 67%, needs 35% | won by 4points |
| Last season |
Games like tonight
Tonight MSST plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against OU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 10 at home.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
MSST -4.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against MSST -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | ||||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
More on Mississippi State Bulldogs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 1st quarter totalMississippi State Bulldogs |
