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NCAAFGame lineSpread
MSST -2.5 (spread)
Won4 of 6this season · 67%
Best price+162Polymarket
Price needs38.2%wins to break even
Every game9 of 19this season and last
Trend score-11.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 38% to break even | 27%–86% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 38% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 38% to break even | 17%–54% | 5 points shortwon 33%, needs 38% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 38% to break even | 35%–88% | 28 points betterwon 67%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 38% to break even | 20%–61% | evenwon 38%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 38% to break even | 30%–65% | 9 points betterwon 47%, needs 38% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MSST plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against OU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
MSST -2.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against msst -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  LSU | -31 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  ALA | -33 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  MIZ | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  ACU | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  MINN | 25 | +22.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  ULM | 49 | +46.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  WAKE | -14 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 |  MISS | -19 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | MIZ | -22 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  UGA | -20 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  ARK | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  TEX | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  FLA | -2 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  TA&M | -22 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  TENN | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  NIU | 28 | +25.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  ALCN | 63 | +60.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  ASU | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  USM | 17 | +14.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Mississippi State Bulldogs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.