This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 36% to break even | 27%–86% | 24 points betterwon 60%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 36% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 36% to break even | 17%–54% | 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 36% to break even | 35%–88% | 30 points betterwon 67%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 36% to break even | 20%–61% | 2 points betterwon 38%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 36% to break even | 30%–65% | 11 points betterwon 47%, needs 36% |
Tonight MSST plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against OU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against msst to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -31 | -31 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| -33 |
| -33 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 25 | +25 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 49 | +49 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | -19 | -19 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -22 | -22 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -20 | -20 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -22 | -22 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 63 | +63 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 44% to break even |
| 6.9Good |
| Over 47.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 47% to break even | 6.1Good |
| Over 45 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | PX-103at ProphetX | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 51% to break even | 3.3Good |
| Over 51.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even | 3.1Good |
| Over 45.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even | 1.3Slight |
| Over 43.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.3Slight |
| MSST -2.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.7Not beating its price |
| MSST +0.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| MSST -0.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| MSST +2.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
| MSST +1.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
| MSST -0.5 1st half spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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