This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 36% to break even | 44%–95% | 44 points betterwon 80%, needs 36% | 15.8total points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 36% to break even | 54%–93% | 44 points betterwon 80%, needs 36% | 17.6total points |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 36% to break even | 46%–83% | 31 points betterwon 67%, needs 36% | 15.1total points |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 36% to break even | 50%–96% | 47 points betterwon 83%, needs 36% | 16.7total points |
Tonight MSST plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against OU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 10 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1st quarter total points in each game against over 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1st quarter total points | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 1st quarter totalMississippi State Bulldogs |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs |
| Last season |
| 6 of 1346%needs 36% to break even |
| 26%–68% |
| 10 points betterwon 46%, needs 36% |
| 14.5total points |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 36% to break even | 39%–74% | 22 points betterwon 58%, needs 36% | 15.2total points |
| 14 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 21 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | SC | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 17 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 21 | +7.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 21 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 21 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 24 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 17 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 28 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| +107at Polymarket |
| 2 of 13· last season15%needs 48% to break even0 of 10 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -36.5Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 1st quarter totalMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 62% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -41.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +116at Polymarket |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even8 of 10 at home |
| 5.3Good |
| Over 46.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 50% to break even9 of 10 at home | 3.9Good |
| Over 53.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even8 of 10 at home | 3.1Good |
| Over 47.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even9 of 10 at home | 1.3Slight |
| Over 51.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 42% to break even8 of 10 at home | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 1st half totalMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 37% to break even7 of 10 at home | -2.3Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 58% to break even9 of 10 at home | -2.6Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 65% to break even10 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 team totalMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 51% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| MSST -4.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
| MSST to win moneylineMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | NV+153at Novig | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 40% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| MSST -3.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 38% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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