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NCAAFGame lineTotal
Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs: under 47.5
Won3 of 13last season · 23%
Best price-129Polymarket
Price needs56.3%wins to break even
Every game4 of 19this season and last
Trend score-39.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 56% to break even | 5%–56% | 36 points shortwon 20%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 56% to break even | 2%–35% | 46 points shortwon 10%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 56% to break even | 8%–41% | 36 points shortwon 20%, needs 56% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 56% to break even | 4%–50% | 40 points shortwon 17%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 3 of 1323%needs 56% to break even | 10%–46% | 33 points shortwon 23%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 4 of 1921%needs 56% to break even | 10%–40% | 35 points shortwon 21%, needs 56% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MSST plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against OU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs: under 47.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against under 47.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 47.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  LSU | 31 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  ALA | 79 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  MIZ | 55 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  ACU | 75 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  MINN | 51 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  ULM | 75 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  WAKE | 72 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 |  MISS | 57 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | MIZ | 76 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  UGA | 62 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  ARK | 73 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  TEX | 83 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  FLA | 44 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  TA&M | 40 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  TENN | 75 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  NIU | 48 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  ALCN | 63 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  ASU | 44 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  USM | 51 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |  -145at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.3Slight | |
| Over 45 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | PX-103at ProphetX | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 51% to break even | 3.3Good | ||
| Over 45.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even | 1.3Slight | ||
| Over 47.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 47% to break even | 6.1Good | ||
| Over 51.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even | 3.1Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Mississippi State Bulldogs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.