This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% | 26.6points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even | 35%–81% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% | 29.1points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 51% to break even | 39%–78% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% | 28.7points |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 51% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 51% | 32.5points |
| Last season |
Tonight MSST plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against OU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 10 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MSST points in each game against over 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 team totalMississippi State Bulldogs |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 1st quarter totalMississippi State Bulldogs |
| 46%–85% |
| 18 points betterwon 69%, needs 51% |
| 30.4points |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 51% to break even | 50%–83% | 17 points betterwon 68%, needs 51% | 31.1points |
| 0 |
| -23.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 23 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 31 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | SC | 41 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 38 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 62 | +38.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 29 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 27 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 38 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 38 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 9 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 34 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 38 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 63 | +39.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 24 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 34 | +10.5 | Won |
| -119at Polymarket |
| 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 54% to break even3 of 10 at home |
| -30.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +131at Polymarket |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 43% to break even7 of 10 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| 9.4Strong |
| Over 7.5 1st quarter totalMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 57% to break even10 of 10 at home | 8.7Strong |
| Over 13.5 1st quarter totalMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 36% to break even7 of 10 at home | 5.4Good |
| Over 49.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even8 of 10 at home | 5.3Good |
| Over 46.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 50% to break even9 of 10 at home | 3.9Good |
| Over 53.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 39% to break even8 of 10 at home | 2.3Slight |
| Over 47.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 52% to break even9 of 10 at home | 2.2Slight |
| Over 51.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 42% to break even8 of 10 at home | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 1st half totalMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 37% to break even7 of 10 at home | -2.3Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 58% to break even9 of 10 at home | -2.6Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 65% to break even10 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| MSST -4.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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