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NCAAFGame line1st quarter total
Over 7.5 (1st quarter total)
Won10 of 10last 10 games · 100%
Best price-134Polymarket
Price needs57.3%wins to break even
Every game17 of 19this season and last
Trend score8.7Strong
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 57% to break even | 65%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% | 15.8total points |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 57% to break even | 79%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% | 17.6total points |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 57% to break even | 67%–95% | 29 points betterwon 87%, needs 57% | 15.1total points |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 57% to break even | 69%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% | 16.7total points |
| Last season | 11 of 1385%needs 57% to break even | 63%–95% | 27 points betterwon 85%, needs 57% | 14.5total points |
| Every game | 17 of 1989%needs 57% to break even | 73%–96% | 32 points betterwon 89%, needs 57% | 15.2total points |
Games like tonight
Tonight MSST plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against OU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 10 of 10 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 7.5 (1st quarter total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1st quarter total points in each game against over 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1st quarter total points | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  LSU | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  ALA | 21 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  MIZ | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | SC | 13 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  MINN | 17 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  ULM | 21 | +13.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  WAKE | 21 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 |  MISS | 21 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | MIZ | 24 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  UGA | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  ARK | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  TEX | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  FLA | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  TA&M | 3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  TENN | 17 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  NIU | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  ALCN | 28 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  ASU | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  USM | 13 | +5.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 1st quarter totalMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET |  +107at Polymarket | 2 of 13· last season15%needs 48% to break even0 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -36.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 10.5 1st quarter totalMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 62% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -41.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Mississippi State Bulldogs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.