This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 50% to break even | 44%–95% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 50% to break even | 44%–87% | 20 points betterwon 70%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 50% to break even | 59%–92% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 50% to break even | 41%–90% | 22 points betterwon 71%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 11 of 1385%needs 50% to break even | 63%–95% | 35 points betterwon 85%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 16 of 2080%needs 50% to break even | 62%–91% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
Tonight SDSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 61.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 61.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 49 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 57.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET |
| 80 |
| -18.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 60 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 57 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 39 | +22.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 38 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 73 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 96 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 40 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 28 | +33.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 24 | +37.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 44 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 31 | +30.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 23 | +38.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 54 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 69 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 9 | +52.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 34 | +27.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 49 | +12.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 42 | +19.5 | Won |
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 66% to break even |
| -41.6Not beating its price |
| Over 58.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 63% to break even | -39.3Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 60% to break even | -36.9Not beating its price |
| Over 60.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 58% to break even | -39.7Not beating its price |
| Over 61.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 55% to break even | -37.3Not beating its price |
| Over 62.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 52% to break even | -34.8Not beating its price |
| Over 63.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 49% to break even | -32.5Not beating its price |
| Over 66.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 42% to break even | -26.8Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 36% to break even | -22.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 39% to break even |
| 4.1Good |
| Under 32.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even | -2.9Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 49% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even | -7.0Not beating its price |
| SDSU -4.5 1st half spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| SDSU -3.5 1st half spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| SDSU -6.5 1st half spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| SDSU -6.5 spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
| SDSU -5.5 spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.3Not beating its price |
| SDSU -0.5 2nd half spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
| SDSU -1.5 spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | NV+102at Novig | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
| SDSU to win moneylineSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | PX-104at ProphetX | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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