This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 49% to break even | 44%–95% | 31 points betterwon 80%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 49% to break even | 44%–87% | 21 points betterwon 70%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 49% to break even | 52%–87% | 25 points betterwon 73%, needs 49% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 49% to break even | 41%–90% | 23 points betterwon 71%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 49% to break even | 39%–80% | 13 points betterwon 62%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 49% to break even | 47%–80% | 16 points betterwon 65%, needs 49% |
Tonight SDSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
SDSU points in each game against under 30.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | SDSU points | Beat 30.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 26 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 57.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET |
| 14 |
| +16.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 31 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 16 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 13 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 10 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 53 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 47 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 6 | +24.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 24 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 23 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 44 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 45 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 6 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 34 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 13 | +17.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 42 | -11.5 | Lost |
| 5 of 13· last season38%needs 67% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -43.0Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.1Not beating its price |
| Over 32.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.8Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 13· last season85%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 3.5Good |
| Under 60.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.4Good |
| Under 58.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.0Slight |
| Under 61.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.0Slight |
| Under 63.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.2Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.3Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Under 66.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| SDSU -4.5 1st half spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| SDSU -3.5 1st half spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| SDSU -6.5 1st half spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| SDSU -6.5 spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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