This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 51% to break even | 19%–65% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 51% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 51% to break even | 19%–71% | 8 points shortwon 43%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 51% to break even | 46%–85% | 18 points betterwon 69%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 12 of 2060%needs 51% to break even | 42%–76% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
Tonight SDSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against sdsu to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET |
| -52 |
| -52 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -25 | -25 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -13 | -13 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -18 | -18 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 33 | +33 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 22 | +22 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -32 | -32 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 23 | +23 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 34 | +34 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 21 | +21 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 34 | +34 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -23 | -23 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | 42 | +42 | Won |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 39% to break even |
| 4.1Good |
| Under 57.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.5Good |
| Under 60.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.4Good |
| Under 58.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.0Slight |
| Under 61.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.0Slight |
| Under 63.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.2Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.3Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Under 32.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even | -2.9Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 49% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Under 66.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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