This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 34% to break even | 0%–35% | 34 points shortwon 0%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 34% to break even | 7%–46% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 34% to break even | 22%–61% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 34% to break even | 3%–45% | 19 points shortwon 14%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 34% to break even | 39%–80% | 28 points betterwon 62%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 9 of 2045%needs 34% to break even | 28%–63% | 11 points betterwon 45%, needs 34% |
Tonight SDSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against sdsu 1h -6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -31 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -14 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -14 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -19 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 23 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | -8 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 15 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -18 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 35 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 18 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -12 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 20 | +13.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.