This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 57% to break even | 65%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 57% to break even | 54%–93% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 57% to break even | 59%–92% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 57% to break even | 55%–97% | 29 points betterwon 86%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 57% to break even | 39%–80% | 5 points betterwon 62%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 14 of 2070%needs 57% to break even | 52%–84% | 13 points betterwon 70%, needs 57% |
Tonight SDSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
SDSU points in each game against under 32.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | SDSU points | Beat 32.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 26 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 14 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 31 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 16 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 13 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 10 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 53 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 47 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 6 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 24 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 23 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 44 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 45 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 6 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 34 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 13 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 42 | -9.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 32.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.