This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 42% to break even | 5%–56% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 42% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 42% to break even | 33%–72% | 12 points betterwon 53%, needs 42% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 42% to break even | 10%–59% | 13 points shortwon 29%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 42% to break even | 46%–85% | 28 points betterwon 69%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 42% to break even | 37%–72% | 13 points betterwon 55%, needs 42% |
Tonight SDSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against sdsu 1h -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET |
| -31 |
| -34.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | -14 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -14 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -19 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 23 | +19.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | -8 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 15 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -18 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 13 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 35 | +31.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 18 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 13 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -12 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | 20 | +16.5 | Won |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 39% to break even |
| 4.1Good |
| Under 57.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.5Good |
| Under 60.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.4Good |
| Under 58.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.0Slight |
| Under 61.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.0Slight |
| Under 63.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.2Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.3Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Under 32.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even | -2.9Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 50% to break even | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Under 66.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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