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NCAAFGame line1st half spread
SDSU 1H -4.5 (1st half spread)
Won8 of 13last season · 62%
Best price+173Kalshi
Price needs36.6%wins to break even
Every game10 of 20this season and last
Trend score-12.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 37% to break even | 5%–56% | 17 points shortwon 20%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 37% to break even | 13%–56% | 7 points shortwon 30%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 37% to break even | 28%–67% | 10 points betterwon 47%, needs 37% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 37% to break even | 10%–59% | 8 points shortwon 29%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 37% to break even | 39%–80% | 25 points betterwon 62%, needs 37% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 37% to break even | 33%–67% | 13 points betterwon 50%, needs 37% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SDSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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SDSU 1H -4.5 (1st half spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against sdsu 1h -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  FRES | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  ORST | -31 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  TXST | -14 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  TOL | -14 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  JMU | -19 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  UCLA | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  PRST | 23 | +18.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 |  UNT | -8 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 |  UNM | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 |  SJSU | 15 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  BOIS | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  HAW | -18 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  WYO | 10 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | FRES | 13 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  NEV | 35 | +30.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  CSU | 18 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  NIU | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  CAL | 13 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  WSU | -12 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 |  STBK | 20 | +15.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on San Diego State Aztecs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.