This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 67% to break even | 5%–56% | 47 points shortwon 20%, needs 67% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 67% to break even | 13%–56% | 37 points shortwon 30%, needs 67% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 67% to break even | 13%–48% | 40 points shortwon 27%, needs 67% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 67% to break even | 10%–59% | 38 points shortwon 29%, needs 67% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 67% to break even | 20%–61% | 28 points shortwon 38%, needs 67% |
| Every game | 7 of 2035%needs 67% to break even | 20%–53% | 32 points shortwon 35%, needs 67% |
Tonight SDSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
SDSU points in each game against over 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | SDSU points | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 26 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 57.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET |
| 14 |
| -13.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 16 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 13 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 10 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 53 | +25.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 47 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 17 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 25 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 17 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 6 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 44 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 45 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 6 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 34 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 13 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | 42 | +14.5 | Won |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 39% to break even |
| 4.1Good |
| Under 30.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 50% to break even | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 32.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 58% to break even | -3.7Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 team totalSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even | -7.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 13· last season85%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 3.5Good |
| Under 60.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.4Good |
| Under 58.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.0Slight |
| Under 61.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.0Slight |
| Under 63.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.2Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.3Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.2Not beating its price |
| Under 66.5 game total, SDSU gamesSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| SDSU -3.5 1st half spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| SDSU -4.5 1st half spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
| SDSU -6.5 1st half spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| SDSU -6.5 spreadSan Diego State Aztecs · Tomorrow 6:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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