This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 46% to break even | 35%–81% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 46% to break even | 46%–83% | 20 points betterwon 67%, needs 46% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 46% to break even | 22%–78% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 11 of 1479%needs 46% to break even | 57%–91% | 32 points betterwon 79%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 14 of 2070%needs 46% to break even | 52%–84% | 24 points betterwon 70%, needs 46% |
Tonight DUKE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UVA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 44 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE +2.5 2nd half spreadDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET |
| 53 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 69 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 42 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 58 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 20 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 81 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 47 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | 81 | +31.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 57 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 51 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 71 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 91 | +41.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 45 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 66 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 41 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 78 | +28.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 61 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 64 | +14.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 62 | +12.5 | Won |
| 1 of 6· this season17%needs 31% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -23.8Not beating its price |
| Under 40 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +200at Fanatics | 1 of 6· this season17%needs 33% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Under 40.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +208at Kalshi | 1 of 6· this season17%needs 32% to break even | Record is this season's | -24.8Not beating its price |
| Under 41 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +175at Fanatics | 1 of 6· this season17%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.6Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +164at FanDuel | 1 of 6· this season17%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -28.8Not beating its price |
| Under 42 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +150at Fanatics | 1 of 5· this season20%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | -30.0Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +152at FanDuel | 2 of 6· this season33%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.2Not beating its price |
| Under 43 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +145at Fanatics | 2 of 6· this season33%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -28.1Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 2 of 6· this season33%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -28.0Not beating its price |
| Under 44 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +130at Fanatics | 2 of 5· this season40%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.2Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +122at FanDuel | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.1Not beating its price |
| Under 45 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +120at Bovada | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.0Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.5Not beating its price |
| Under 46 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +105at Fanatics | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | -28.8Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | -28.8Not beating its price |
| Under 47 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -105at Fanatics | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
| Under 47.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.9Not beating its price |
| Under 48 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -120at Fanatics | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -30.9Not beating its price |
| Under 49 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -135at Fanatics | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -33.3Not beating its price |
| Under 50 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -145at Fanatics | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -34.4Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 60% to break even | Record is this season's | -34.8Not beating its price |
| Under 51 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -170at Fanatics | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 63% to break even | Record is this season's | -36.7Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 63% to break even | -35.5Not beating its price |
| Under 52 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -190at Fanatics | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 66% to break even | -37.8Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 66% to break even | -37.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 56% to break even |
| 8.8Strong |
| DUKE +3.5 2nd half spreadDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 61% to break even | 7.8Good |
| DUKE +0.5 2nd half spreadDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | 4.0Good |
| DUKE -0.5 2nd half spreadDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.0Slight |
| DUKE +4.5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 63% to break even | 1.8Slight |
| DUKE +4 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -160at Fanatics | 9 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped100%needs 62% to break even | 0.8Slight |
| DUKE +5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -180at Fanatics | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even | 0.5Slight |
| Over 23.5 team totalDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 11 of 14· last season79%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.1Slight |
| DUKE -3.5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +195at BetRivers | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 34% to break even | 0.1Slight |
| DUKE +5.5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 65% to break even | -0.2Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 team totalDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.5Not beating its price |
| DUKE -3 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Today 7:00 PM ET | +170at BetRivers | 7 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped78%needs 37% to break even | -0.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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