This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 34% to break even | 27%–86% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 34% to break even | 35%–81% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 34% to break even | 39%–78% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 34% to break even | 22%–78% | 16 points betterwon 50%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 9 of 1464%needs 34% to break even | 43%–81% | 31 points betterwon 64%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 12 of 2060%needs 34% to break even | 42%–76% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
Tonight DUKE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UVA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
DUKE points in each game against over 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | DUKE points | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 20 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 team totalDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE +0.5 2nd half spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
| 25 |
| -2.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 62 | +34.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 35 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 17 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 42 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | 49 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 32 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 17 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 34 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 46 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 18 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 45 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 38 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 45 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 19 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | 45 | +17.5 | Won |
| 3 of 14· last season21%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -26.8Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 43% to break even | -27.3Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 team totalDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 55% to break even | -36.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 56% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 4.0Good |
| DUKE -0.5 2nd half spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.0Slight |
| DUKE -0.5 4th quarter spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | 2.7Slight |
| DUKE +4.5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 63% to break even | 1.8Slight |
| DUKE +4 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -160at Fanatics | 9 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped100%needs 62% to break even | 0.8Slight |
| DUKE +5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -180at Fanatics | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even | 0.5Slight |
| DUKE -3.5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +195at BetRivers | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 34% to break even | 0.1Slight |
| Over 41.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -195at Fanatics | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 66% to break even | -0.0Not beating its price |
| DUKE +5.5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 65% to break even | -0.2Not beating its price |
| DUKE -3 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +170at BetRivers | 7 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped78%needs 37% to break even | -0.5Not beating its price |
| DUKE +0.5 4th quarter spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -0.8Not beating its price |
| DUKE -5.5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +250at BetRivers | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 29% to break even | -1.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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