This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 63% to break even | 65%–100% | 37 points betterwon 100%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 63% to break even | 79%–100% | 37 points betterwon 100%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 63% to break even | 67%–95% | 24 points betterwon 87%, needs 63% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 63% to break even | 69%–100% | 37 points betterwon 100%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 10 of 1471%needs 63% to break even | 49%–86% | 9 points betterwon 71%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 16 of 2080%needs 63% to break even | 62%–91% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
Tonight DUKE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UVA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against duke +4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE +0.5 2nd half spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
| -3 |
| +1.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 55 | +59.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 28 | +32.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 14 | +18.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 3 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 7 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | 17 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 7 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -17 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -9 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 24 | +28.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 35 | +39.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 12 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -7 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | -26 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | 28 | +32.5 | Won |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 56% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 4.0Good |
| DUKE -0.5 2nd half spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.0Slight |
| DUKE -0.5 4th quarter spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | 2.7Slight |
| Over 27.5 team totalDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.4Slight |
| Over 41.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -195at Fanatics | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 66% to break even | -0.0Not beating its price |
| DUKE +0.5 4th quarter spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -0.8Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 team totalDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 11 of 14· last season79%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.9Not beating its price |
| Over 42 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -190at Fanatics | 13 of 14· last 15 games, 1 skipped93%needs 66% to break even | -1.9Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +162at FanDuel | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.9Not beating its price |
| DUKE +2.5 2nd quarter spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 61% to break even | Record is this season's | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Over 52 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +150at Fanatics | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 55 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +200at Fanatics | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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