This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 52% to break even | 54%–93% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 52% to break even | 52%–87% | 22 points betterwon 73%, needs 52% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 52% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 11 of 1479%needs 52% to break even | 57%–91% | 27 points betterwon 79%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 52% to break even | 57%–87% | 23 points betterwon 75%, needs 52% |
Tonight DUKE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UVA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
DUKE points in each game against over 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | DUKE points | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 25 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 62 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 35 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 31 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 42 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 27 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 49 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 32 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 34 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 46 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 18 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 45 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 38 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 45 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 27 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 45 | +21.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 team totalDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 3 of 14· last season21%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 20.5 team totalDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 42% to break even | -26.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 23.5 team totalDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 54% to break even | -36.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.