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NCAAFGame lineTotal
Duke Blue Devils @ Virginia Cavaliers: under 46.5
Won3 of 6this season · 50%
Best price+105Kalshi
Price needs48.8%wins to break even
Every game5 of 20this season and last
Trend score-28.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 49% to break even | 13%–56% | 19 points shortwon 30%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 49% to break even | 13%–48% | 22 points shortwon 27%, needs 49% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 49% to break even | 22%–78% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 2 of 1414%needs 49% to break even | 5%–35% | 34 points shortwon 14%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 5 of 2025%needs 49% to break even | 13%–43% | 24 points shortwon 25%, needs 49% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DUKE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UVA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Duke Blue Devils @ Virginia Cavaliers: under 46.56 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against under 46.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 46.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  UNC | 44 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  GT | 53 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  W&M | 69 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  STAN | 42 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  ILL | 58 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  TULN | 20 | +26.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 |  ASU | 81 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 |  UVA | 47 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  WAKE | 81 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | UNC | 57 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | UVA | 51 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  CONN | 71 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  CLEM | 91 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | GT | 45 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  CAL | 66 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  SYR | 41 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  NCSU | 78 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | TULN | 61 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | ILL | 64 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 |  ELON | 62 | -15.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Duke Blue Devils in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.