This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 40% to break even | 7%–46% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 40% to break even | 5%–33% | 26 points shortwon 13%, needs 40% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 40% to break even | 12%–65% | 6 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 1 of 147%needs 40% to break even | 2%–27% | 33 points shortwon 7%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 3 of 2015%needs 40% to break even | 6%–32% | 25 points shortwon 15%, needs 40% |
Tonight DUKE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UVA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 42.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 42.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 44 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 41.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE +1.5 2nd half spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
| 53 |
| -10.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 69 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 42 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 58 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 20 | +22.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 81 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 47 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | 81 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 57 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 51 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 71 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 91 | -48.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 45 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 66 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 41 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 78 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 61 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 64 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | 62 | -19.5 | Lost |
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 66% to break even |
| -0.0Not beating its price |
| Over 42 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -190at Fanatics | 13 of 14· last 15 games, 1 skipped93%needs 66% to break even | -1.9Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -180at Fanatics | 13 of 14· last season93%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Over 43 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -180at Fanatics | 13 of 14· last season93%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -170at Fanatics | 13 of 14· last season93%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.6Not beating its price |
| Over 44 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -160at Fanatics | 13 of 14· last season93%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -145at Fanatics | 13 of 14· last season93%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Over 45 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -140at Fanatics | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -130at BetMGM | 12 of 14· last season86%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Over 46 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -125at Fanatics | 12 of 14· last season86%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -120at Fanatics | 12 of 14· last season86%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 47 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -115at Fanatics | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 11 of 14· last season79%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 48 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +100at Fanatics | 11 of 14· last season79%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +105at Fanatics | 11 of 14· last season79%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.9Not beating its price |
| Over 49 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +110at Fanatics | 11 of 14· last season79%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +116at FanDuel | 11 of 14· last season79%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 50 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +120at Fanatics | 11 of 14· last season79%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.3Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +126at FanDuel | 11 of 14· last season79%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Over 51 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +135at Fanatics | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +145at Fanatics | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.0Not beating its price |
| Over 52 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +150at Fanatics | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +162at FanDuel | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.9Not beating its price |
| Over 53 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +165at Fanatics | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +172at FanDuel | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Over 54 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +175at Fanatics | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +190at FanDuel | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.5Not beating its price |
| Over 55 game total, DUKE gamesDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +200at Fanatics | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 59% to break even |
| 6.1Good |
| DUKE +0.5 2nd half spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | 4.0Good |
| DUKE -0.5 2nd half spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.0Slight |
| DUKE +1.5 3rd quarter spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even | 2.1Slight |
| DUKE +4.5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 63% to break even | 1.8Slight |
| DUKE +4 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -160at Fanatics | 9 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped100%needs 62% to break even | 0.8Slight |
| DUKE +5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -180at Fanatics | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even | 0.5Slight |
| Over 27.5 team totalDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.4Slight |
| DUKE -3.5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +195at BetRivers | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 34% to break even | 0.1Slight |
| DUKE +5.5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -190at Fanatics | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 66% to break even | -0.5Not beating its price |
| DUKE -3 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +170at BetRivers | 7 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped78%needs 37% to break even | -0.5Not beating its price |
| DUKE -5.5 spreadDuke Blue Devils · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +250at BetRivers | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 29% to break even | -1.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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