This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 47% to break even | 44%–95% | 33 points betterwon 80%, needs 47% | 64.8total points |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 47% to break even | 44%–87% | 23 points betterwon 70%, needs 47% | 59.6total points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 47% to break even | 39%–78% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% | 55.9total points |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 47% to break even | 41%–90% | 24 points betterwon 71%, needs 47% | 61.6total points |
| Last season |
Tonight USC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WIS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 7 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 51.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 51.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 47.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 team totalUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET |
| 8 of 1362%needs 47% to break even |
| 39%–80% |
| 14 points betterwon 62%, needs 47% |
| 58.8total points |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 47% to break even | 47%–80% | 18 points betterwon 65%, needs 47% | 59.8total points |
| Oct 10 | 54 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 46 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 68 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 77 | +25.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 79 | +27.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 39 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | 68 | +16.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | 57 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 39 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 69 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 47 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | 55 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 38 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 58 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 44 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 66 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 76 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 50 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 79 | +27.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 86 | +34.5 | Won |
| +126at Polymarket |
| 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 44% to break even1 of 7 on the road |
| -24.7Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 51% to break even1 of 7 on the road | -30.3Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | LVG-108at LowVig | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 52% to break even2 of 7 on the road | -29.8Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 57% to break even2 of 7 on the road | -34.0Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 61% to break even2 of 7 on the road | -37.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -164at Polymarket |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 62% to break even6 of 7 on the road |
| Won last 12 in a row |
| 8.6Strong |
| USC -3.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 45% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 2.5Slight |
| Over 26.5 team totalUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 52% to break even5 of 7 on the road | 1.9Slight |
| USC -3 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | LVG+100at LowVig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 50% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -1.3Not beating its price |
| USC -2.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 54% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| USC -6.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 40% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -4.9Not beating its price |
| USC -4.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 43% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| USC -5.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 41% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -5.7Not beating its price |
| USC -7.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 34% to break even2 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.7Not beating its price |
| USC -1.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 56% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -6.4Not beating its price |
| USC to win moneylineUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | NV-138at Novig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 58% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
| USC -0.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 59% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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