This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 45% to break even | 44%–95% | 35 points betterwon 80%, needs 45% | won by 4.8points |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 45% to break even | 44%–87% | 25 points betterwon 70%, needs 45% | won by 8points |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 45% to break even | 52%–87% | 28 points betterwon 73%, needs 45% | won by 7.9points |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 45% to break even | 55%–97% | 40 points betterwon 86%, needs 45% | won by 11.3points |
| Last season |
Tonight USC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WIS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 7 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against USC -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 team totalUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET |
| 9 of 1369%needs 45% to break even |
| 46%–85% |
| 24 points betterwon 69%, needs 45% |
| won by 12.8points |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 45% to break even | 57%–87% | 30 points betterwon 75%, needs 45% | won by 12.3points |
| Oct 10 | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -14 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 19 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 39 | +35.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 16 | +12.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | -3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 19 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | -15 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | 21 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -10 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 18 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -2 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 16 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 39 | +35.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 60 | +56.5 | Won |
| -164at Polymarket |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 62% to break even6 of 7 on the road |
| Won last 12 in a row |
| 8.6Strong |
| Over 26.5 team totalUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 52% to break even5 of 7 on the road | 1.9Slight |
| Over 53.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 43% to break even5 of 7 on the road | -1.7Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 47% to break even5 of 7 on the road | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even4 of 7 on the road | -6.1Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | NV+102at Novig | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even5 of 7 on the road | -6.6Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 52% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price |
| USC to win moneylineUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | NV-138at Novig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 58% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
| USC -0.5 1st quarter spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 47% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 59% to break even6 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| USC -3.5 1st half spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 44% to break even2 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
| USC -3.5 1st quarter spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 37% to break even0 of 7 on the road | -17.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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