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Won5 of 7this season · 71%
Best price+149Polymarket
Price needs40.2%wins to break even
Every game12 of 20this season and last
Trend score-4.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 40% to break even | 27%–86% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% | won by 4.8points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 40% to break even | 35%–81% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% | won by 8points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 40% to break even | 33%–72% | 13 points betterwon 53%, needs 40% | won by 7.9points |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 40% to break even | 41%–90% | 31 points betterwon 71%, needs 40% | won by 11.3points |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 40% to break even | 32%–74% | 14 points betterwon 54%, needs 40% | won by 12.8points |
| Every game | 12 of 2060%needs 40% to break even | 42%–76% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% | won by 12.3points |
Games like tonight
Tonight USC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WIS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 7 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
USC -6.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against USC -6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 |  PSU | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  WASH | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  ORE | -14 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  RUTG | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  UL | 19 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 |  FRES | 39 | +32.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  SJSU | 16 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 |  TCU | -3 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  UCLA | 19 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | ORE | -15 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 |  IOWA | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 |  NU | 21 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  NEB | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  ND | -10 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  MICH | 18 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  ILL | -2 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  MSU | 14 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  PUR | 16 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  GASO | 39 | +32.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  MOST | 60 | +53.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on USC Trojans in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.