This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 63% to break even | 65%–100% | 37 points betterwon 100%, needs 63% | 34.8points |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 63% to break even | 79%–100% | 37 points betterwon 100%, needs 63% | 33.8points |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 63% to break even | 75%–98% | 30 points betterwon 93%, needs 63% | 31.9points |
| This season | 7 of 7100%needs 63% to break even | 72%–100% | 37 points betterwon 100%, needs 63% | 36.4points |
| Last season |
Tonight USC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WIS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 7 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
USC points in each game against over 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | USC points | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 team totalUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC -3.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET |
| 12 of 1392%needs 63% to break even |
| 72%–98% |
| 29 points betterwon 92%, needs 63% |
| 35.8points |
| Every game | 19 of 2095%needs 63% to break even | 80%–99% | 32 points betterwon 95%, needs 63% | 36points |
| Oct 10 |
| 31 |
| +7.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 25 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 27 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 42 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 49 | +25.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 39 | +15.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 42 | +18.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | 27 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 29 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 27 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 26 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | 38 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 24 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 31 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 32 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 45 | +21.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 33 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 59 | +35.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 73 | +49.5 | Won |
| +137at Polymarket |
| 1 of 13· last season8%needs 42% to break even1 of 7 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -33.2Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 team totalUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 53% to break even2 of 7 on the road | -37.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 7· this season86%needs 45% to break even4 of 7 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| 2.5Slight |
| Over 53.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 42% to break even5 of 7 on the road | -0.8Not beating its price |
| USC -3 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | LVG+100at LowVig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 50% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -1.3Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 47% to break even5 of 7 on the road | -4.8Not beating its price |
| USC -2.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 54% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| USC -6.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 40% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -4.9Not beating its price |
| USC -4.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 43% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| USC -5.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 41% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -5.7Not beating its price |
| USC -7.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 34% to break even2 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.7Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even4 of 7 on the road | -6.1Not beating its price |
| USC -1.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 56% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -6.4Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | NV+102at Novig | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even5 of 7 on the road | -6.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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