This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 58% to break even | 44%–95% | 22 points betterwon 80%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 58% to break even | 44%–87% | 12 points betterwon 70%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 58% to break even | 52%–87% | 15 points betterwon 73%, needs 58% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 58% to break even | 55%–97% | 28 points betterwon 86%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 58% to break even | 46%–85% | 11 points betterwon 69%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 58% to break even | 57%–87% | 17 points betterwon 75%, needs 58% |
Tonight USC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WIS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against usc to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 8 | +8 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 19 | +19 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 39 | +39 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 19 | +19 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 21 | +21 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 18 | +18 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 39 | +39 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 60 | +60 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC -3 spreadUSC Trojans · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | PX+101at ProphetX | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -1.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 50.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -7.0Not beating its price | ||
| USC -0.5 1st half spreadUSC Trojans · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.6Not beating its price | |
| USC +0.5 1st half spreadUSC Trojans · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 65% to break even | Record is this season's | -28.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 50.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 52% to break even | -29.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.