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Won6 of 7this season · 86%
Best price-129Polymarket
Price needs56.3%wins to break even
Every game15 of 20this season and last
Trend score-6.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% | won by 4.8points |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 56% to break even | 44%–87% | 14 points betterwon 70%, needs 56% | won by 8points |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 56% to break even | 52%–87% | 17 points betterwon 73%, needs 56% | won by 7.9points |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 56% to break even | 55%–97% | 29 points betterwon 86%, needs 56% | won by 11.3points |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 56% to break even | 46%–85% | 13 points betterwon 69%, needs 56% | won by 12.8points |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 56% to break even | 57%–87% | 19 points betterwon 75%, needs 56% | won by 12.3points |
Games like tonight
Tonight USC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WIS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 7 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
USC -1.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against USC -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 |  PSU | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  WASH | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  ORE | -14 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  RUTG | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  UL | 19 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 |  FRES | 39 | +37.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  SJSU | 16 | +14.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 |  TCU | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  UCLA | 19 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | ORE | -15 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 |  IOWA | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 |  NU | 21 | +19.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  NEB | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  ND | -10 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  MICH | 18 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  ILL | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  MSU | 14 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  PUR | 16 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  GASO | 39 | +37.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  MOST | 60 | +58.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on USC Trojans in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.