This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 50% to break even | 44%–95% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 50% to break even | 44%–87% | 20 points betterwon 70%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 50% to break even | 52%–87% | 24 points betterwon 73%, needs 50% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 50% to break even | 55%–97% | 36 points betterwon 86%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 50% to break even | 46%–85% | 19 points betterwon 69%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 50% to break even | 57%–87% | 25 points betterwon 75%, needs 50% |
Tonight USC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WIS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against usc -3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 8 | +5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 50.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| 4 |
| +1 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | -14 | -17 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +4 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 19 | +16 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 39 | +36 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 16 | +13 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | -3 | -6 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 19 | +16 | Won |
| Nov 22 | -15 | -18 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 5 | +2 | Won |
| Nov 7 | 21 | +18 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -10 | -13 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 18 | +15 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -2 | -5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 14 | +11 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 16 | +13 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 39 | +36 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 60 | +57 | Won |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even |
| -7.0Not beating its price |
| USC to win moneylineUSC Trojans · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV-138at Novig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
| USC -0.5 1st half spreadUSC Trojans · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
| USC +0.5 1st half spreadUSC Trojans · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 65% to break even | Record is this season's | -28.0Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 52% to break even | -29.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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