This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 54% to break even | 35%–81% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 54% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 54% to break even | 0%–73% | 54 points shortwon 0%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 30 of 4961%needs 54% to break even | 49%–72% | 7 points betterwon 61%, needs 54% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against under 26.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 pts + reb + astPaul George |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET |
| Every game | 30 of 5060%needs 54% to break even | 48%–71% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 26.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 46 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 10 | +16.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 23 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 29 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 23 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 17 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 30 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 32 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 23 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 18 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 28 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 12 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 24 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 29 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 35 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 50 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 25 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 41 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 38 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 42 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 17 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 20 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 23 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 25 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 25 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 30 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 32 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 13 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 29 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 23 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 23 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 19 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 31 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 25 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 17 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 42 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 34 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 30 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 16 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 19 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 17 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 29 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 19 | +7.5 | Won | |
| -179at BetOnline |
| 26 of 49· last season53%needs 64% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -34.6Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 25 of 49· last season51%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -108at FanDuel | 21 of 49· last season43%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -110at Bovada | 19 of 49· last season39%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.5Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +116at BetOnline | 18 of 49· last season37%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.3Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +229at Kalshi | 13 of 49· last season27%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Over 31.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +196at BetOnline | 9 of 49· last season18%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -150at Bovada |
| 36 of 49· last season73%needs 60% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.0Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doublePaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +1900at Fanatics | 2 of 49· last season4%needs 5% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 55% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 threesPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +208at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 32% to break even | -4.5Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 stealsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +135at BetOnline | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 43% to break even | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 pts + rebPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +125at Bovada | 27 of 49· last season55%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -185at Bovada | 38 of 49· last season78%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 18.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -116at DraftKings | 32 of 49· last season65%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 30 of 49· last season61%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -240at Bovada | 40 of 49· last season82%needs 71% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 pts + rebPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 27 of 49· last season55%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -170at Bovada | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even | -11.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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