This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 52% to break even | 17%–54% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 52% to break even | 27%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 19 of 4939%needs 52% to break even | 28%–51% | 14 points shortwon 39%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 20 of 5040%needs 52% to break even | 29%–52% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against over 26.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 26.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 46 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 10 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 29 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 17 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 30 | 30 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 32 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 21 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 26 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 22 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | 26 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 18 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 28 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 12 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 24 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 29 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 35 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 50 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 25 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 41 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 38 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 22 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 42 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 17 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 20 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 25 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 25 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 30 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 32 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 13 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 29 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 19 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 31 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 25 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 17 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 42 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 34 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 21 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 30 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 16 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 27 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 19 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 17 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 29 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 19 | -7.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 23 of 49· last season47%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 24.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +120at Bovada | 24 of 49· last season49%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 25.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 28 of 49· last season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 26.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -118at DraftKings | 30 of 49· last season61%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 27.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -145at Bovada | 31 of 49· last season63%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.