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NBAPlayer propThrees
Paul George over 3.5 threes
Won6 of 10last 10 games · 60%
Best price+159Kalshi
Price needs38.6%wins to break even
Every game18 of 50this season and last
Trend score-10.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 39% to break even | 27%–86% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 39% to break even | 35%–81% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 39% to break even | 22%–61% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 39% to break even | 27%–100% | 61 points betterwon 100%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 17 of 4935%needs 39% to break even | 25%–46% | 4 points shortwon 35%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 18 of 5036%needs 39% to break even | 26%–48% | 3 points shortwon 36%, needs 39% |
Games like tonight
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Paul George over 3.5 threes1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Threes in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  DET | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 |  NY | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 8 | NY | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 6 | NY | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 4 | NY | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 2 |  BOS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 30 | BOS | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 28 | BOS | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | BOS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 24 | BOS | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | BOS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | BOS | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 15 |  ORL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  MIL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  IND | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 |  HOU | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 |  SA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 | DET | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  MIN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 |  WSH | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  MIA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 |  CHA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  CHI | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 |  SAC | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 | MIL | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | NY | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 | HOU | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 16 |  CLE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 14 | CLE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 12 |  TOR | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 | ORL | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | WSH | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 |  DEN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | NY | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 |  DAL | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 |  MEM | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 |  OKC | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | CHI | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 |  BKN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 | NY | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  ATL | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | IND | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  LAL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | MIL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | WSH | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | ATL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | BKN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | MIA | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | MIL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 |  LAC | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 threesPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET |  +114at Kalshi | 23 of 49· last season47%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Paul George in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.