This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 49% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 49% to break even | 35%–81% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 49% to break even | 39%–78% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 49% to break even | 0%–73% | 49 points shortwon 0%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 30 of 4961%needs 49% to break even | 49%–72% | 12 points betterwon 61%, needs 49% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 15.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes double-doublePaul George · |
| Every game | 30 of 5060%needs 49% to break even | 48%–71% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 38 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 17 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 23 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 18 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 17 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 11 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 23 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 39 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 26 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 28 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 32 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 10 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 14 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 17 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 18 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 23 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 14 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 17 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 35 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 23 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 11 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 14 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 10 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| -210at Fanatics |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 68% to break even |
| -21.7Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -165at Fanatics | 23 of 49· last season47%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -112at FanDuel | 19 of 49· last season39%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +100at Fanatics | 17 of 49· last season35%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +142at FanDuel | 13 of 49· last season27%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.0Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +149at Caesars | 11 of 49· last season22%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +187at Caesars | 9 of 49· last season18%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +1900at Fanatics |
| 2 of 49· last season4%needs 5% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 stealsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +135at BetOnline | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 43% to break even | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 23 of 49· last season47%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.1Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 pts + rebPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +125at Bovada | 27 of 49· last season55%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 61% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +120at Bovada | 24 of 49· last season49%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 pts + rebPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 27 of 49· last season55%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 threesPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 40% to break even | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -170at Bovada | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 reboundsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -220at Bovada | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 69% to break even | -11.3Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 pts + rebPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -120at Bovada | 32 of 49· last season65%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 pts + reb + astPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -118at DraftKings | 30 of 49· last season61%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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