Loading
NBAPlayer propPoints
Paul George under 21.5 points
Won40 of 49last season · 82%
Best price-240Bovada
Price needs70.6%wins to break even
Every game40 of 50this season and last
Trend score-9.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 71% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 71% to break even | 44%–95% | 9 points betterwon 80%, needs 71% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 71% to break even | 54%–93% | 9 points betterwon 80%, needs 71% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 71% to break even | 67%–95% | 16 points betterwon 87%, needs 71% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 71% to break even | 0%–73% | 71 points shortwon 0%, needs 71% |
| Last season | 40 of 4982%needs 71% to break even | 71%–89% | 11 points betterwon 82%, needs 71% |
| Every game | 40 of 5080%needs 71% to break even | 69%–88% | 9 points betterwon 80%, needs 71% |
Games like tonight
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Paul George under 21.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 21.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 21.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  DET | 38 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 |  NY | 7 | +14.5 | Won |
| May 8 | NY | 15 | +6.5 | Won |
| May 6 | NY | 19 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 4 | NY | 17 | +4.5 | Won |
| May 2 |  BOS | 13 | +8.5 | Won |
| Apr 30 | BOS | 23 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | BOS | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | BOS | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | BOS | 18 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | BOS | 19 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | BOS | 17 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 15 |  ORL | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  MIL | 11 | +10.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  IND | 21 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 9 |  HOU | 7 | +14.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 |  SA | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 | DET | 20 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  MIN | 23 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 |  WSH | 39 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  MIA | 19 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 |  CHA | 26 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  CHI | 28 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 |  SAC | 15 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 | MIL | 32 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | NY | 9 | +12.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 | HOU | 10 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 |  CLE | 14 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 14 | CLE | 17 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 12 |  TOR | 15 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 | ORL | 18 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | WSH | 23 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 |  DEN | 8 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | NY | 15 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 |  DAL | 14 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 |  MEM | 17 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  OKC | 12 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | CHI | 15 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 |  BKN | 19 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 | NY | 7 | +14.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  ATL | 35 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | IND | 23 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  LAL | 12 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | MIL | 20 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 2 | WSH | 11 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | ATL | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | BKN | 14 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | MIA | 10 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | MIL | 21 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 |  LAC | 9 | +12.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Paul George in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.