This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 49% to break even | 0%–35% | 49 points shortwon 0%, needs 49% | 9.8rush attempts |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 49% to break even | 7%–46% | 29 points shortwon 20%, needs 49% | 12rush attempts |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 49% to break even | 17%–54% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 49% | 13.7rush attempts |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 49% to break even | 0%–31% | 49 points shortwon 0%, needs 49% | 9.7rush attempts |
| Last season | 6 of 1833% |
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 11 at home. Tonight: NYG allows 22.5 rush attempts a game to running backs, the 14th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 21.9). How NYG defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rush attempts in each game against over 16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 18%–53% |
| 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 49% |
| 12.7rush attempts |
| Every game | 6 of 2425%needs 49% to break even | 14%–42% | 24 points shortwon 25%, needs 49% | 12rush attempts |
| Opponent |
|---|
| Rush attempts |
|---|
| Beat 16.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 6 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 5 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 8 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 9 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 19 | 19 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 10 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 19 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 7 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 26 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 19 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 16 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 18 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 10 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 11 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 10 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 7 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 17 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 6 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 3 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 3 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| +146at Kalshi |
| 11 of 18· last season61%needs 41% to break even9 of 11 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -5.4Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +105at Fanatics | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 49% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 3.2Good |
| Under 16.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -133at BetOnline | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 57% to break even10 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 rush attemptsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -191at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 66% to break even11 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -114at BetOnline |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even9 of 11 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| 3.9Good |
| Under 63.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even9 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 1.6Slight |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -154at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 61% to break even10 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | 1.4Slight |
| Under 62.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -120at BetMGM | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -0.5Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 47% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Under 79.5 rush + rec yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -103at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 51% to break even8 of 11 at home | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 40% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +140at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 42% to break even6 of 11 at home | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -137at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 58% to break even8 of 11 at home | -5.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | +164at FanDuel | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 38% to break even6 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -107at Kalshi | 13 of 18· last season72%needs 52% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Under 61.5 rushing yardsWoody Marks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETMontgomery out: next up at RB | -118at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 54% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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