This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 54% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% | 26.6points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 54% to break even | 19%–65% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% | 29.1points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 54% to break even | 22%–61% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% | 28.7points |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 54% to break even | 12%–65% | 21 points shortwon 33%, needs 54% | 32.5points |
| Last season | 4 of 1331% |
Tonight MSST plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against OU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 10 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MSST points in each game against under 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | MSST points | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 team totalMississippi State Bulldogs |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 1st quarter totalMississippi State Bulldogs |
| 15%–54% |
| 24 points shortwon 31%, needs 54% |
| 30.4points |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 54% to break even | 17%–50% | 23 points shortwon 32%, needs 54% | 31.1points |
| 0 |
| +23.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 31 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | SC | 41 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 38 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 62 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 29 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 19 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 27 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 21 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 38 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 38 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 21 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 9 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 34 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 38 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 63 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 34 | -10.5 | Lost |
| -105at Polymarket |
| 9 of 13· last season69%needs 51% to break even7 of 10 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +131at Polymarket |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 43% to break even7 of 10 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| 9.4Strong |
| Over 7.5 1st quarter totalMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 57% to break even10 of 10 at home | 8.7Strong |
| Over 13.5 1st quarter totalMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 36% to break even7 of 10 at home | 5.4Good |
| Over 49.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even8 of 10 at home | 5.3Good |
| Over 46.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 50% to break even9 of 10 at home | 3.9Good |
| Over 53.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even8 of 10 at home | 3.1Good |
| Over 47.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even9 of 10 at home | 1.3Slight |
| Over 51.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 42% to break even8 of 10 at home | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 1st half totalMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 37% to break even7 of 10 at home | -2.3Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 58% to break even9 of 10 at home | -2.6Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 65% to break even10 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| MSST -4.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Today 3:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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