This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 59% to break even | 44%–95% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 59% to break even | 65%–98% | 31 points betterwon 90%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 59% to break even | 67%–95% | 27 points betterwon 87%, needs 59% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 59% to break even | 50%–96% | 24 points betterwon 83%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 12 of 1392%needs 59% to break even | 72%–98% | 33 points betterwon 92%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 17 of 1989%needs 59% to break even | 73%–96% | 30 points betterwon 89%, needs 59% |
Tonight MSST plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against OU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 43.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 43.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 31 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST to win moneylineMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| 79 |
| +35.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 55 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 75 | +31.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 51 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 75 | +31.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 72 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 57 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 76 | +32.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 62 | +18.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 73 | +29.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 83 | +39.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 44 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 40 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 75 | +31.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 48 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 63 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 44 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 51 | +7.5 | Won |
| 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 44% to break even |
| -32.5Not beating its price |
| Under 45 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | PX-103at ProphetX | 3 of 13· last season23%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.4Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 3 of 13· last season23%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.1Not beating its price |
| Under 47.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 3 of 13· last season23%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.9Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, MSST gamesMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -44.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -10.2Not beating its price |
| MSST -2.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 37% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| MSST -1.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 39% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| MSST +0.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| MSST -0.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| MSST +2.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
| MSST +1.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
| MSST -0.5 1st half spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
| MSST +4.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | PX-105at ProphetX | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.0Not beating its price |
| MSST -1.5 1st half spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.1Not beating its price |
| MSST +3.5 spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
| MSST +0.5 1st quarter spreadMississippi State Bulldogs · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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