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NCAAFGame lineTotal
Utah State Aggies @ Texas State Bobcats: under 59.5
Won5 of 13last season · 38%
Best price+109Kalshi
Price needs47.8%wins to break even
Every game6 of 19this season and last
Trend score-27.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 48% to break even | 5%–56% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 48% to break even | 19%–65% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 48% to break even | 13%–48% | 21 points shortwon 27%, needs 48% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 48% to break even | 4%–50% | 31 points shortwon 17%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 48% to break even | 20%–61% | 9 points shortwon 38%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 48% to break even | 17%–50% | 16 points shortwon 32%, needs 48% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TXST plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against USU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Utah State Aggies @ Texas State Bobcats: under 59.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against under 59.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 59.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 |  CSU | 93 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  SDSU | 60 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  UIW | 73 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  UNT | 84 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  UTSA | 57 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  TEX | 66 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  RICE | 51 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  USA | 75 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 |  ULM | 45 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  USM | 55 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  UL | 81 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 |  JMU | 72 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  MRSH | 77 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  TROY | 89 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  ARST | 61 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  NICH | 38 | +21.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  ASU | 49 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | UTSA | 79 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  EMU | 79 | -19.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Texas State Bobcats in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.